KiwiSaver feels hit of rising interest rates

2016 drew to an unpleasant close for many KiwiSaver funds, Aon’s latest industry survey shows.

In the December quarter, only cash funds posted a uniformly positive return.

Across all the other fund types, most funds went backwards over the three months – although  balanced, moderate and conservative funds were the most affected.

Over the quarter, Kiwi Wealth’s growth fund was the best performer, with a 4.2% return. The worst was Generate’s conservative, losing 2.9%.

Over the past year, Mercer’s high growth fund topped the table with 7.8% and Generate’s focused growth was at the bottom, losing 0.4%.

Guy Fisher, an investment consultant at Aon, said the main issue for the quarter was a rise in interest rates and bond yields, which drove negative returns for domestic and global fixed interest.

“Global shares performed well in anticipation of Trump’s pro-growth policies, but New Zealand shares fell. New Zealand is a high-yielding share market, attractive for investors looking for yield, but vulnerable as interest rates rise,” he said.

“We would expect this volatility to continue. There is uncertainty around the timing and the impact of Trump’s policies. The actual amount of fiscal stimulus may be lower than currently assumed as the government debt to GDP ratio is already very high and politicians will be unlikely to sign off on policies that send it significantly higher.

“Even if they do, passing legislation takes time and may not happen until near the end of 2017. In addition is appears that the Fed will be raising the cash rate this year (probably sooner rather than later), which could send long term interest rates higher. And there is political uncertainty in Europe with elections this year in France, Germany and the Netherlands.”

Low-cost model better for advisers: Simplicity

Fund managers charging high fees for their products have kept a lid on what advisers can earn, Simplicity’s managing director said as the provider launched its first non-KiwiSaver funds.

Simplicity has unveiled plans to branch out into the wider investment funds sector.

Its KiwiSaver scheme, launched last year, has $100 million under management.

The funds will operate on the same basis. Each fund will have 7000 investments in 23 countries and be fully hedged to the New Zealand dollar.

Overseas investments will be managed by Vanguard.  There will be conservative, balanced and growth options.

Fees are 0.31% plus $30 a year for each fund. Stubbs said that was between 50% and 75% cheaper than the average diversified investment fund in the market.

“A Kiwi with $50,000 invested in our growth fund over 10 years could be more than $10,000 better off than the average fund, all other things being equal,” he said.

“Fees for KiwiSaver funds are already way too high, and managed investment schemes are even worse. Some are just outrageous, reflecting old ways of managing money and sales tactics which belong in the last century,” he said.

“For too long fund managers have taken too much of a slice and advisers too little.”

He said advisers could hold Simplicity up as an example when talking to other managers.

“They could go to their existing suppliers and say ‘what are you charging more than this for, this is what it can be provided for’. It will be a useful low benchmark and a useful product for clients.”

Simplicity will not take direct investments from non-individuals, so any trusts or companies that want to invest will need to do so through an adviser via a wrap platform.

He said there could be interest from the small institutional market. “It’s very adviser-friendly. Advisers who want to get a really low-cost manager and add their advice on top – because that’s what they are experts at – will find it easier. And the number is less eye-watering for the client.

“The problem advisers have had is that managers have been taking too much of the fee but this is starting to change that.”

Stubbs said it was possible to offer low fees because Simplicity did not pay trail commissions or run an expensive head office.  He said the breakeven for Simplicity’s KiwiSaver was between $300m and $500m FUM.

Stubbs said one in five of Simplicity’s KiwiSaver members had asked for an option that allowed them to withdraw money at any time.

The minimum investment will be $10,000 and the funds open for deposits on April 3.

KiwiSaver popularity brings attention to ‘second-order’ problems

Former deputy prime minister and finance minister Sir Michael Cullen says the need for an annuity provider to help KiwiSaver members manage their lump sums on retirement is another sign of the scheme’s success.

He recently joined the board of the Retirement Income Group (RIG).

RIG manages New Zealand’s only variable annuity, Lifetime Retirement Income.

Sir Michael said annuity providers had not made much cut-through in New Zealand and the products that had been available to New Zealanders were not seen as attractive.

But he said as the KiwiSaver balances built up it raised issues about what options would be available to members at retirement. “Being capital rich in retirement is not much use if you are not able to live off it,” he said.

He said Lifetime seemed to offer a viable option for the long-term.

Sir Michael said, when KiwiSaver was first developed, it had not been predicted that such large numbers of New Zealanders would join.

“The success of KiwiSaver has made these second or third-order issues more important. [Another is] are we bringing fees down quickly enough.”

New Zealand was well positioned for an income product, he said.

He said Australia was pondering the problem of a retirement benefit that was heavily income and asset-tested and a compulsory savings scheme had was lump sum orientated, which gave people the incentive to blow their lump sums so they could qualify for the pension.

“New Zealand Super is not asset tested so we don’t face that incentive for misaligned behaviour,” he said.

KiwiSaver was not the only scheme that was likely to deliver lump sums that would need to be manged, he said.

People who had joined the Government Superannuation Fund in the 1980s would start to retire over the next decades and could need help managing that money, he said.

Sir Michael said Lifetime was a good option because people who withdrew their money early could still access any remaining capital without penalty, and a guarantee would cover longevity risk.

Simplicity’s growth fund posts early success

KiwiSaver provider Simplicity’s managing director Sam Stubbs says his funds’ first reported performance data are like “winning a bronze medal in your first event” despite a poor showing from its conservative fund.

Morningstar has released its KiwiSaver survey for the December quarter.

Kiwi Wealth’s growth fund was a standout performer, thanks in part to its allocation to international assets.

But the new, low-fee market entrant also had an early win. It was the best performing growth fund in the quarter, returning 1.9% after fees and before tax.

The Kiwi Wealth KiwiSaver Growth, which Morningstar classifies as a multi-sector aggressive fund, returned 4.35% over the same period.

Stubbs said the result should surprise some of Simplicity’s actively managed competitors.

“They are supposed to outperform the market and index tracking funds like ours, by picking winners. In most cases this hasn’t happened. This is particularly embarrassing in the last quarter, when there was lots of volatility, and markets that should be favourable to stock pickers.”

Melville Jessup Weaver also produced data, which put Simplicity in the middle of the pack for balanced funds, second-worst – to Fisher Funds – among the conservative and third-highest among the growth funds.

MJW has a bigger group of funds in its growth classification than Morningstar’s and ranks Kiwi Wealth in the same category.

Stubbs said the growth fund was Simplicity’s “flagship” product, and 75% of its members were in it.

He said the poor performance of bonds had dragged down the conservative fund.

“Overall the business is going very well. After five months we have over 3200 members, $85,000,000 funds under management, are saving members $750,000 in fees annually, and are donating $35,000 to charity.”

Over the five years to the end of 2016, Morningstar found ANZ OneAnswer KiwiSaver Growth, Milford KiwiSaver Balanced, and Aon Russell Lifepoints had been the top-performing options in their respective categories.